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March 10, 2006

Are Democrats Losing the Black Vote?

Deroy Murdock notes the good things that have been happening in the black economic community under the Bush administration. His sub-heading is, "Will the Dems lose a reliable constituency this year?" My answer to that is "No", if you mean that in 2006 (and even 2008) the percentage split of black voters between Republican and Democrat will mirror the nation's at large. However, I have a feeling it'll continue the trend toward Republicans in both years. When you consider how most blacks voted against the same-sex marriage issue, in addition to Murdock's economic numbers, I think the wake-up call has been heard.

Posted by Doug at March 10, 2006 01:19 PM

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Murdock's article wasn't very compelling. His econ numbers are aggregate, meaning that the economy looks good because the huge gains made by the top tier of earners has statistically washed out the losses by the lower half. Re: employment: I'd think that the quality of the job and the quality of life that the job affords the worker will be more important indicators of satisfaction w/ Bush's econ policies than merely having a job.

Posted by: jpe at March 12, 2006 01:16 PM